Tribune,
7 August 1992
Defending
the welfare state is all very well, but it is not enough if Labour wants to win
elections, argues Paul Anderson
With
its leadership contest over, its new front bench team in place and the Tories
in disarray on the economy, it makes some sense for Labour to put behind it the
soul-searching that followed the debacle of April 9 and to concentrate on
attacking the government.
But it
would be foolish for Labour to put everything into the promised summer
offensive against John Major and forget the longer term. Even if a succession
of opinion polls shows Labour under John Smith well ahead of the Tories, the
severity of the election defeat will still demand some serious thinking about
how Labour should pitch its appeal if it is to have a hope of winning in 1996
or 1997.
So
far, unsurprisingly, most of the contributions to the debate about Labour's
predicament have been concerned with what went wrong in 1992. For want of
better explanations, it is generally accepted that the defeat had something
to do with certain key voters not trusting Labour and other key voters feeling
that Labour would do nothing for them.
Beyond
this consensus, however, has been little but sweeping statements of the
continuing validity of Labour's values and bickering about which details of
style or substance should have been changed for Labour to do better. Hardly
anyone has dared to suggest that Labour's whole strategy needs to be changed
for the next election: that, instead of organising its appeal to voters around
the core of defence of the welfare state, as it has done since the
mid-eighties, it should adopt a radically different approach.
Yet
that is precisely what Labour needs. Instead of falling back on defence of the
welfare state, the party must frame its programme for 1996 or 1997 with Europe
and economic policy at the core and significant roles for environmentalism and
democratisation.
Europeanisation
The
future of Europe was barely mentioned during the election campaign, mainly
because of a general sense among politicians that only they are interested.
On the
detail of the Common Agricultural Policy (or even the Maastricht treaty), such
a view is probably correct. But there are good reasons for questioning it in
other areas. The perception that Britain lags behind its EC partners in wages,
technology, social provision, transport, culture - in fact, just about every
indicator of prosperity - is widespread among the public. Unease about the Tories'
lukewarm attitude to the whole project of European union is commonplace. So
too, however, is the notion that the EC as currently constituted is remote,
bureaucratic and undemocratic.
Labour
can tap all these feelings by articulating a vision of a Britain fully committed
to a democratic federal Europe in which:
- the European Parliament is given massively increased powers at the expense of the intergovernmental Council of Ministers and the non-elected Commission;
- the principle of subsidiarity (maximum appropriate decentralisation of decision-making) is applied not to empower national governments but to give a greater role to elected regional and local government;
- a high priority is given to widening the EC to include the countries of the European Free Trade Area and the former Soviet bloc.
Economic
strategy
On its
own, however, a radical shift in Labour's position on the political organisation of Europe is
not enough. The economic potential
of Europeanisation needs to be tapped.
Put
crudely, Labour's main problem hi the 1992 election was popular disbelief in
the efficacy of its proposed remedies for Britain's economic crisis. Labour was
still considered by a large number of its target middle-class voters to be incapable
of managing the economy, while many working-class voters, traditionally its
core supporters, did not reckon that the party's rather timid proposals would
do anything to put the country back to work. Labour's economic policy came over
as essentially a policy for redistribution - tax and benefits - and nothing
else.
This
was mainly because Labour's economic advisers were saying, quite rightly, that
there was no hope of a Labour government being able to put some sort of
late-seventies-style alternative economic policy into practice. As President
Francois Mitterrand found to his cost in the early eighties, Keynesianism in
one country is no longer feasible.
Labour's
problem was that it had nothing to replace Keynesianism in one country as an
approach to managing the economy. "Supply-side" measures apart, it
really was reduced to offering
redistribution and nothing else.
Just
about the only way round this is to develop a Europe-wide reflationary economic
strategy, initially to be carried out intergovernmentally but to be transferred
to democratically accountable European institutions as soon as possible.
Of
course, Labour could not develop such a strategy on its own, let alone
implement it: it would, at very least have to draw its sister European social
democratic parties into the frame and would almost certainly
have to go further, bringing in non-party economists as well as sympathetic
Christian Democrats and liberals.
Democratisation
The
Europeanisation theme can be carried still further if Labour frames its plans
for constitutional reform in the language of catching up with the democracies
of our EC partners. First-past-the-post elections for parliament, an unelected
second chamber and rigid centralism make British democracy a laughing stock
throughout the EC.
The idea
that "electoral reform" lost Labour the last election and should
therefore be shunned is utterly without foundation. Certainly, Labour leaders
made fools of themselves a week before polling day by refusing to give straight
answers about the party's intentions, but that was a matter of indeci-siveness
tinged with opportunism, not electoral reform.
It is
also doubtless true that the prospect of a Liberal Democrat-Labour coalition
government put off many disillusioned Tory supporters who were toying with the
idea of voting Liberal Democrat. That was simply a by-product of the closeness
in the opinion polls of the two main parties, which inevitably led to media
speculation about possible governing coalitions.
Labour
should move as quickly as possible to adopt the Additional Member System for
the House of Commons, regional assemblies and the Scottish and Welsh parliaments.
This is the only system to combine one-member constituencies and
proportionality. The party should propose a new federal second chamber
composed of representatives of the regional assemblies.
This
is essentially the structure of the German political system. Its advantages in
delivering stable growth and affluence to its citizens could be exploited
ruthlessly by Labour.
Empowerment
But
electoral reform and regionalism are not the only elements of the
democratisation programme that Labour should develop. One of the biggest
successes of the Tory Party in the past 13 years has been to persuade people
that it stands up for those who feel powerless in the face of state bureaucracy.
The
right-to-buy scheme for council tenants persuaded thousands that the Tories
meant to give people control over the things that most affected their everyday
lives. Opt-out schools could play a similar role in the nineties.
Labour
has to develop a populist anti-bureaucratic politics of the Left. This does not
mean reluctantly accepting Tory measures as faits accomplis. Nor does it mean merely adopting a
rhetoric of opposition to "vested interests" or simply promising
entrenched rights. Labour has to take the initiative across
the board with bold, tangible proposals for empowerment in every sphere.
Giving
people a greater say at work – with a programme to encourage rapid growth of
producer co-operatives and democratic employee share-ownership schemes, a
commitment to a "co-determination" model of industrial relations,
and policies to give new rights to trade unionists and to members of pension
schemes – must be a priority.
So
must proposals to encourage self-build housing schemes and self-management of
housing for those unwilling or unable to buy, measures to democratise and decentralise
local government and the health and education services, and policies to
increase consumer rights far beyond what is envisaged by the government's
various charters.
The
goal of empowerment should be central to Labour's Commission on Social
Justice, which must be a fundamental review of the party's approach to tax and
benefits and not an excuse merely to chip away at the principle of universality
hi welfare provision.
Universality
is essential if the welfare system is to give people the sense of security that
is the prerequisite for confident autonomous action. For Labour to accept the
Tory view that all we need is a minimal "safety net", means-tested
welfare system would be disastrous. Indeed, there is a strong case to be made
for extending rather than reducing the scope of universality by adopting a
basic income scheme as the core of a new welfare settlement.
Environmentalism
The
environment was another big issue notable by its absence from the 1992 general
election campaign. The consensus among the politicians, apparently borne out
by the opinion polls, was that in the middle of a recession voters are less
concerned with global warming than with jobs and mortgages.
Whatever
the truth of this consensus, it is likely that the next election will not be
taking place in a recession and that worries about the environment among voters
will be even more widespread than in the late eighties.
Meanwhile,
the need for government action, especially on global warming, will have become
more urgent and more apparent, much to the embarrassment of the Tories, with
their attachment to nonintervention and "letting market forces
decide".
Once
again, Labour has an opportunity to seize the initiative by developing an
alternative programme, particularly on energy, where Labour should go for
giving a massive boost to research into sources of renewable energy, and
transport, where the need to reduce carbon dioxide emissions meshes perfectly
with Labour's enthusiasm for public transport. Once again, the British government's
poor record compared with most of our EC partners should be a focus for Labour's attack.
Demilitarisation
With
the end of the cold war, the government is making severe cuts in defence
spending. We have already seen massive redundancies among defence sector
workers and there are many more to come.
Labour's
response so far has been cautious in the extreme. The party promised a defence
diversification agency at the 1992 election but, largely because an inordinate
amount of time had been spent arguing about who would oversee it, very little
work had been done on what the agency would actually do. Developing the
proposal for a DDA is now a high priority.
But
Labour needs more than just a policy for the defence industry: it has to work
out what Britain's defence needs really are. Calling for a full defence review
and arguing that British nuclear weapons should be included in multilateral
arms reduction negotiations might have worked as a holding operation in the
run-up to the last election but in the next five years the party will have to
go much further.
The
whole security system in Europe is in a state of crisis. With the Soviet threat
no more, the Balkans torn by war and ethnic tensions in the former Soviet Union
threatening to explode, NATO is desperately searching for a role in the
post-cold-war world. Pressure is growing for the development of the Western
European Union into the main security organisation on the continent. With the
current pace of nuclear arms reduction talks, the time is fast approaching
when the other nuclear powers demand that French and British nuclear forces are
included in negotiations.
Labour
needs to do some deep thinking: first, about what it wants (and what is needed)
from a new European security system and, secondly, about its precise negotiating
positions on nuclear arms. In both cases, its deliberations should be informed
by the conviction that the demilitarisation of international relations is the
best way of ensuring lasting peace and security.
All
this does not in itself add up to a detailed programme for Labour in the next
five years. But it is, I hope, the basis for a coherent and credible left
agenda for the mid-nineties and beyond, with plenty to appeal to working-class
and middle-class voters. Does anyone out there agree?